The CEO of Claude has revealed the five signs that we’re closer than anyone realizes to a superintelligent AI.
Claude is an AI assistant built by Anthropic and is trained to be safe, accurate and secure.
The CEO of the tech firm, Dario Amodei, sat down with Lex Fridman to discuss the timeline to superintelligence.
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Artificial general intelligence (AGI) is a type of AI that matches or surpasses human cognitive capabilities across a wide range of cognitive tasks, and the entrepreneur shocked viewers by saying that it could be here by 2026 or 2027.
In fact, he went on to reveal that this is a conservative estimate, with internal data suggesting that it could be even sooner.
Amodei went on to share the five signs that we’re approaching artificial superintelligence.
The signs that we’re getting closer to a superintelligent AI
“One of the reasons I’m bullish about powerful AI happening so is just that if you extrapolate to the next few points on curve, we’re very quickly getting towards human level ability.
“Some new models that have come from other companies, they are starting at what we’d call PhD or professional level, right? If you look at their coding ability.
“The latest model we released, Sonnet 3.5, the new or updated version - it gets something like 50% on SWE-bench.”
SWE-bench is a benchmark for evaluating large language models on real world software issues collected from GitHub.
Amodei went on to explain: “At the beginning of the year, I think state-of-the-art was three or four percent, so in 10 months, we’ve gone from three to 50% and I think in another year will probably be 90%.
“I mean, I don’t know, it might even be less than that.”
However, the CEO also warned that artificial superintelligence will give dangerous capabilities to anyone and a system has been created to track the danger.
Many people took to social media to share their own thoughts on the tech boss’ predictions.
On Reddit, one user wrote: “Every company keeps making small improvements with each new model.
“This isn't going to be an event. At some point we will just cross the threshold quietly, nobody will even realize it, then things will start moving faster as AI starts designing better AI.”
This prompted a response from someone who said: “For people paying attention maybe. For people not following it ? SURPRISE KILLBOTS!”
And a third added: “‘Unless something goes wrong’ ...looks around nervously.”